As Saturday rolls around, fantasy owners are looking for answers. That’s where I come in. I’ll tell you who to stay with and who to stay away from. I’ll go through every matchup and dissect every player’s fantasy projection.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills
Stay
Maurice Jones-Drew: Let’s face it you didn’t use a top 3 pick to bench him. He’s up against the worst run defense in the NFL and he will run all over the Bills.
Prediction: 177 rushing yards 2 TD 32 receiving yards 32.9 fantasy points

Mercedes Lewis: Don’t expect more than about 40 yards but a touchdown or two will make him a valuable fantasy asset.
Prediction: 31 receiving yards 1 TD 9.1 fantasy points
Ryan Fitzpatrick: I cannot believe I am doing this but his speed gives him tremendous upside and with the Jags having the 30th ranked pass defense I expect a 15 – 20 point performance.
Prediction: 212 passing yards 1 TD 35 rushing yards 15.98 fantasy points
Steve Johnson: The Fitz Johnson connection has been money, Lee Evans really isn’t much competition, expect a touchdown maybe two.
Prediction: 67 receiving yards 1 TD 12.7 fantasy points
Stay Away
David Garrard: This is purely a last case scenario, his two games where he had over a 65 passer rating he played against the 15th best pass defense (Colts) and 17th best pass defense (Broncos). The Bills and underrated Jairus Byrd rank in the top 12 in pass defense. Unless your willing to deal with his 35 passer rating he had against the Chargers, leave him on the bench.
Prediction: 146 pass yards 2 TD 2 INT 23 rush yards 10.14 fantasy points
Mike Thomas: Number one receiver and has a good chance of getting 70 yards but no chance at a touchdown, MJD will run it in or Garrard will turn to his favorite red zone target, Mercedes Lewis.
Prediction: 64 receiving yards 6.4 fantasy points
Mike Sims-Walker: Love the talent here but he’s been held without a reception twice this year and I don’t trust him against a decent Buffalo secondary.
Prediction: 14 receiving yards 1.4 fantasy points
CJ Spiller/Fred Jackson: With Marshawn Lynch gone, the reps go to these two but that’s the problem, they go to both. I wouldn’t expect more than 12 attempts for each and against an average rush defense, don’t be surprised if there isn’t a touchdown between the two.
Prediction: Spiller: 52 rushing yards 13 receiving yards 6.3 fantasy points Jackson: 43 rushing yards 4.3 fantasy points
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers
Stay
Matt Forte: Don’t love Forte but without Cutler under center, Forte will have plenty of opportunities and will have a respectable fantasy day even if he only gets 3 yards per rush.
Prediction: 73 rushing yards 17 receiving yards 1 TD 15 fantasy points
Stay Away
Any Bears receiver: When Johnny Knox is the number one, its not like your benching anyone special, but with Todd Collins under center, there is no chance that any break 65 yards.
Prediction: Knox: 32 receiving yards 3.2 fantasy points
Deangelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart: Love both’s talent and Williams has established himself as a regular starter, but to be safe you shouldn’t start either. The Bears have the 6th best rushing defense in the NFL and if the Panthers want to stay competitive, they’ll have to mix up the rotation.
Prediction: Williams: 46 rushing yards 13 receiving yards 5.9 fantasy points Stewart: 13 rushing yards 7 receiving yards 2 fantasy points
Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts
Stay
Thomas Jones/Jamaal Charles: Sounds crazy to play both but thus far they each have managed to rack up over 70 yards per game each on the ground and against the Colts 29th ranked rush defense, the trend should continue.
Prediction: Jones: 47 rushing yards 1 TD 10.7 fantasy points Charles: 113 rushing yards 11.3 fantasy points
Tony Moeaki: I don’t expect Cassel to have a field day but if in the red zone, Moeaki becomes the odds on favorite to get the TD.
Prediction: 43 receiving yards 1 TD 10.3 fantasy points
Peyton Manning: When you pair the best quarterback on the NFL against the 25th best pass defense in the NFL, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 400 yard field day.
Prediction: 412 passing yards 3 TD 28.48 fantasy points
Any Colts WR: Wayne, Collie, and Clark have all been able to co-exist and all be valuable fantasy assets, against the Chiefs there’s no reason why Garcon can’t join the party especially if Collie sits.
Prediction: Wayne: 142 receiving yards 14.2 fantasy points
Stay Away
Matt Cassel: Yeah I know he’s playing a banged up Colts secondary that is pedestrian at best fully healthy, but I have no trust in Chambers or Bowe; Jones and Charles will get all the yards.
Prediction: 123 passing yards 1 TD 8.92 fantasy points
Joseph Addai/Donald Brown: Neither have been great thus far and you pair that with the Chiefs 5th best run defense, don’t expect either to get more than 50 yards on the ground.
Prediction: Addai: 50 rushing yards 12 receiving yards 6.2 fantasy points
Dwayne Bowe/Chris Chambers: Both have extraordinary talent but the inconsistency of Cassel makes it hard to instill trust in either.
Prediction: Bowe: 23 receiving yards 2.3 fantasy points
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns
Stay
Matt Ryan: You don’t need me to tell you to start Ryan against the Browns but just making sure.
Prediction: 246 passing yards 2 TD 17.84 fantasy points
Roddy White: He has made himself an every week starter and playing against the Browns 24th rank pass defense only helps.
Prediction: 116 receiving yards 1 TD 17.6 fantasy points
Michael Turner: Never have been a big Michael Turner fan but lets face it your starting all your Falcons starters against the Browns.
Prediction: 97 rushing yards 1 TD 34 receiving yards 19.1 fantasy points
Peyton Hillis/Jerome Harrison: Please understand, this is NOT telling you to start both. If Hillis is active you start him and bench Harrison, but if Hillis is inactive, the Falcons will have trouble dealing with the finesse of Harrison after they prepared for the power of Hillis.
Prediction: Hillis: 102 rushing yards 1 TD 16.2 fantasy points
Stay Away
Anyone involved with the Browns passing game: I don’t care that the Falcons are a pedestrian 18th ranked pass defense, with Seneca Wallace or Delhomme you can’t take them seriously.
Prediction: Delhomme: 221 passing yards 3 INT 5.84 fantasy points
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals
Stay
Mike Williams: Some people cannot stop talking about LeGarrette Blount, for me its Williams, I expect him to get a touchdown even if he only racks up around 50 yards.
Prediction: 53 receiving yards 1 TD 11.3 fantasy points
Carson Palmer: Yes the Buccaneers have the tenth best pass defense but who have they played? Delhomme? Moore? Batch? Palmer will shake things up.
Prediction: 312 passing yards 1 TD 1 INT 15.48 fantasy points
Cedric Benson: Bernard Scott has been a non-factor and the Buccaneers have given up 130 RYPG. I expect Benson to get 90 percent of that.
Prediction: 112 rushing yards 1 TD 11 receiving yards 18.3 fantasy points
Chad Ochocinco: All the hype is surrounding Owens but Ochocinco really has more talent and he’s set to display it with a monster game.
Prediction: 74 receiving yards TD 13.4 fantasy points
Stay Away
Josh Freeman: I love the potential here but the Bengals are in the top ten in pass defense and its not like they’ve been playing David Garrard every week, they’ve already dealt with AFC power QBs, Brady and Flacco.
178 passing yards 1 TD 2 INT 9.12 fantasy points
Any Buccaneers Running Back: I’m not one of those delusional LeGarrette Blount lovers and I Cadillac Williams is too far past his prime.
Prediction: Cadillac Williams: 64 rushing yards 6.4 fantasy points
Terrell Owens: Besides his 222 yard outburst against the Browns last week, he hasn’t topped 5 fantasy points, expect more of a 5 point performance this week.
Prediction: 34 receiving yards 3.4 fantasy points
Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens
Stay
Kyle Orton: Obviously you don’t like the matchup against the best pass defense, but Orton has had the most passing yards per game than anyone and with Moreno out Orton will have another 50 attempt performance.
Prediction: 346 passing yards 2 TD 2 INT 17.84 fantasy points
Jabar Gaffney/Eddie Royal: Both have solidified themselves as weekly starters, the Ravens secondary will throw fits.
Prediction: Gaffney: 112 receiving yards 1 TD: 17.2 fantasy points
Joe Flacco: Denver’s secondary is below average and Flacco is coming off of back to back 250 passing yard efforts.
Prediction: 234 passing yards 2 TD 1 INT 16.36 fantasy points
Ray Rice: Don’t expect him to be the Ray Rice of last year but 75/1 is definitely possible and maybe a few receptions will give him 15 points.
Prediction: 77 rushing yards 4 receiving yards 1 TD 14.1 fantasy points
Anquan Boldin: He’s becoming a must start every week; this week is no different.
Prediction: 123 receiving yards 1 TD 18.3 fantasy points
Stay Away
Anyone in the Broncos running game: With Moreno out, dumb and dumber get the call, maybe one of them can top their average of 26 YPG on the ground. O excuse me that 26 is Buckhalter and Moroney COMBINED.
Prediction: Buckhalter: 23 rushing yards 2.3 fantasy points
Demaryius Thomas: Extraordinary talent but with Gaffney and Royal ahead in the pecking order, hard to have faith.
Prediction: 45 receiving yards 4.5 fantasy points
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins
Stay
Anyone associated with the Packers passing game: Obviously your going to start Finley, Rodgers, Jennings, and Driver, but I’d also take a chance on James Jones.
Prediction: Rodgers: 301 passing yards 3 TD 24.03 fantasy points
Ryan Torain: Don’t love the matchup against a potent Packers D but he’s getting all the touches and that count’s for something.
Prediction: 89 rushing yards 1 TD 14.9 fantasy points
Stay Away
John Kuhn/Brandon Jackson: I hate hearing about these guys because they aren’t that good and they aren’t going to get a boatload of carries anyway with Rodgers under center.
Prediction: Kuhn: 31 rushing yards 3.1 fantasy points
Donovan McNabb: McNabb will be under pressure all day and with Charles Woodson in the secondary, multiple picks is likely.
Prediction: 178 passing yards 1 TD 2 INT 9.12 fantasy points
Any Redskins WR: Normally its hard to play any of them because there are so many but against the Packers D let me make it easy, don’t play any. I don’t expect anything from Cooley, Davis, Armstrong, Moss, or Galloway.
Prediction: Moss: 34 receiving yards: 3.4 fantasy points
New York Giants at Houstan Texans
Stay
Eli Manning: Statistically Manning has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league, but you have to stick with a guy that had 4,000 yards last year and is playing against the worst pass defense.
Prediction: 265 passing yards 3 TD 2 INT 20.6 fantasy points
Hakeem Nicks/Mario Manningham/Steve Smith: Expect a touchdown from Nicks and Manningham and at least 90 yards from Smith maybe including a touchdown.
Prediction: Nicks: 134 receiving yard 1 TD 19.4 fantasy points
Anyone on the Texans offense: Foster is the NFL’s leading rusher and the Giants rush defense has been atrocious. The secondary has been good but always lack the ability to stop big plays.
Prediction: Foster: 154 rushing yards 1 TD 59 receiving yards 1 TD 33.3 fantasy points
Stay Away
Ahmad Bradshaw: Obviously you aren’t starting Brnadon Jacobs but for this week the same goes for Bradshaw. A bum ankle combined with the Texans second ranked rush defense and the season debut for Brian Cushing equals a bad day for Bradshaw.
Prediction: 36 receiving yards 23 rushing yards 5.5 fantasy points
St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions
Stay
Steven Jackson: Last week SteJax proved the groin wasn’t an issue and this week will run all over the 25th ranked rush defense.
Prediction: 143 rushing yards 1 TD 17 receiving yards 22 fantasy points
Sam Bradford: He really has been a pleasant surprise this far, you can’t expect that to stop against the 26th ranked pass defense of the Lions.
Prediction: 213 passing yards 2 TD 2 INT 14.52 fantasy points
Mark Clayton: He really is the one receiver on the Rams that can be trusted week in and week out, expect a 90/1 line.
Prediction: 93 receiving yards 1 TD 13.3 fantasy points
The Lions trio: The Rams defense is pathetic and Hill, Megatron, and Best will all reach 15 points +.
Prediction: Hill: 243 passing yards 2 TD 1 INT 16.72 fantasy points
Stay Away
Any Rams receiver not named Mark: I don’t care about the potential of Laurent Robinson or Danny Amendola, the fact of the matter is they are averageing 63 YPG combined and only one TD between the two.
Prediction: Robinson: 42 receiving yards 4.2 fantasy points
Brandon Pettigrew: Its not that I don’t love the talent here, the problem is if you are a tight end with competition there is no way you will be able to keep up a torrid pace. Sell high if you have him.
Prediction: 62 receiving yards 6.2 fantasy points
New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals
Stay
Drew Brees: He’s a must start on a weekly basis, the fact that he is playing the Cardinals and the 23rd ranked defense is just a bonus.
Prediction: 334 passing yards 3 TD 1 INT 24.36 fantasy points
Marques Colston: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie scares me but in four games the number one receiver has gotten 119, 78, 119, and 144; I’m not that scared. He’s got to break out of his slump sometime, I like this week.
Prediction: 81 receiving yards 1 TD 14.1 fantasy points
Jeremy Shockey: Arizona has had major issues guarding the tight end and it seems like Shockey is coming around.
Prediction: 34 receiving yards 1 TD 9.4 fantasy points
Christopher Ivory: All Ivory has done is impress and playing against the third to worst pass defense doesn’t hurt.
Prediction: 67 rushing yards 43 receiving yards 11 fantasy points
Tim Hightower: I have absolutely no faith in Beanie Wells so that leaves Hightower against the 26th ranked rush defense, no reason not to start him.
Prediction: 87 rushing yards 1 TD 15 receiving yards 16.2 fantasy points
Stay Away
Lance Moore: After two sensational weeks, the Cards better prepare for him leaving Colston open but him locked in coverage.
Prediction: 23 receiving yards 2.3 fantasy points
Beanie Wells: He clearly isn’t the talent Hightower is, I would be surprised if he got more than 11 carries but I expect a number more like 7.
Prediction: 52 rushing yards 5.2 fantasy points
Larry Fitzgerald: Its a real sad story here because Fitz is arguably the most talented in football but when you have someone worst than Derek Anderson (Max Hall), its hard to show that talent.
Prediction: 32 receiving yards: 3.2 fantasy points
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys
Stay
Chris Johnson: A terrible matchup for Johnson but with Vince Young continuing to struggle he probably will eclipse 100 yards and cross the plane.
Prediction: 123 rushing yards 1 TD 12 rushing yards 19.5 fantasy points
Tony Romo: Had his fair share of problems this year, a dose of a banged up Titans secondary should do the trick.
Prediction: 253 passing yards 3 TD 1 INT 1 FL 19.12 fantasy points
Miles Austin: He gets too many receptions to be shutdown in back-to-back games.
Prediction: 87 receiving yards 1 TD 14.7 fantasy points
Roy Williams: Its starting to look like Miles Austin and Roy Williams could become a lethal one two punch, not like the two crackheads in Cincy.
Prediction: 54 receiving yards 1 TD 11.4 fantasy points
Stay Away
Anyone in the Titans passing game: No the Cowboys secondary isn’t amazing but it doesn’t have to be; VY will self destruct and it will hurt his wideouts.
Prediction: Vince Young: 174 passing yards 2 INT 4.96 fantasy points
Felix Jones/Marian Barber: What it looks like is that Felix Jones is getting the carries but Marion the Barbarian will get it at the goal line and you have to remember Tashard Choice is always in the mix.
Prediction: Jones: 67 rushing yards 6.7 fantasy points
Dez Bryant: An exceptional talent in the same shoes as Thomas of the Broncos. Playing as the third receiver leads to little production and its unlikely he’ll take a kick to the house.
Prediction: 23 receiving yards 2.3 fantasy points
Jason Witten: I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets fifty yards but I also wouldn’t be surprised if Sidney Rice gets a TD before him, and he’s out until Week 11 at least.
Prediction: 53 receiving yards 5.3 fantasy points
San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders
Stay
Phillip Rivers: He’s been the 2nd best fantasy quarterback thus far and he’s playing against the team he reached 500 yards against last year.
Prediction: 312 passing yards 3 TD 2 INT 22.48 fantasy points
Ryan Matthews/Mike Tolbert: The way each have been playing it looks like they can co-exist and both be fantasy assets, well against the second worst run defense of the Raiders at least.
Prediction: Matthews: 56 rushing yards 1 TD 11.6 fantasy points
Antonio Gates: It doesn’t matter who’s guarding him, he’s going to be a monster and be the Chargers number one receiver.
Prediction: 123 receiving yards 2 TD 24.3 fantasy points
Bruce Gradkowski: In deeper or two quarterback leagues, Gradkowski can put up some big numbers especially with Murphy healthy.
Prediction: 278 passing yards 2 TD 2 INT 17.12 fantasy points
Michael Bush: Reminds me of Jonathan Stewart and with McFadden out, he will be a top ten running back.
Prediction: 89 rushing yards 34 receiving yards 1 TD 18.3 fantasy points
Zach Miller: Its really looking like he’s the next big thing at tight end…not Owen Daniels.
Prediction: 67 receiving yards 1 TD 12.7 fantasy points
Stay Away
Any Chargers receiver not named Antonio: Love Floyd but he has no worth against Asomugha. Rivers likes to share the wealth between his receivers, no one but Gates will have a great game.
Prediction: Floyd: 23 receiving yards: 2.3 fantasy points
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers
Stay
LeSean McCoy: Broken ribs and the 49ers defense spells for disaster, but McCoy has been so good and has earned my trust as a weekly starter.
Prediction: 76 rushing yards 45 receiving yards 11.1 fantasy points
Frank Gore: Like McCoy, he is a weekly starter and the 49ers have used him as their best receiver and best running back.
Prediction: 121 rushing yards 1 TD 54 receiving yards 1 TD 29.5 fantasy points
Vernon Davis: Davis hasn’t been great but playing against the Eagles and their problems against the tight end should put him on track.
Prediction: 74 receiving yards 1 TD 13.4 fantasy points
Stay Away
Kevin Kolb: Before I trust him as a real starter, he has to prove to me he can do more than little 5 yard passes.
Prediction: 198 passing yards 1 passing TD 2 INT 9.92 fantasy points
DeSean Jackson: Jackson needs a real quarterback to have a great day, Kolb doesn’t give him that.
Prediction: 46 receiving yards 11 rushing yards 5.7 fantasy points
Alex Smith: I think Smith could be a valuable bye week starter later in the year but that’s the key, later in the year.
Prediction: 201 passing yards 2 TD 3 INT 1 FL 11.04 fantasy points
Michael Crabtree: He is definitely improving but the Eagles will prove to be too much of a nuisance.
Prediction: 34 receiving yards 3.4 fantasy points
Brent Celek: With a real quarterback Michael Vick he was pretty bad and last week with Kevin Kolb he was worst.
Prediction: 29 receiving yards 2.9 fantasy points
Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets
Stay
Adrian Peterson: Yeah I know he is playing the Jets, but he is also the best running back in football and there is no question he will top 100 yards from scrimmage.
Prediction: 112 rushing yards 1 TD 17.2 fantasy points
Brett Favre: It would be ludicrous to think he will be a top five quarterback but Randy Moss should get him into the top 12.
Prediction: 213 passing yards 2 TD 2 INT 14.52 fantasy points
Percy Harvin: The addition of Moss will take pressure off of him and more importantly it takes Revis off of him.
Prediction: 54 receiving yards 1 TD 11.4 fantasy points
Mark Sanchez: The Sanchize called in some reinforcements in the form of Santonio Holmes; don’t be surprised if he is a top 12 quarterback this week.
Prediction: 176 passing yards 2 TD 15.04 fantasy points
Visanthe Shiancoe: Yes the Jets defense is great but there is no way Jim Leonhard will be able to shut down Shiancoe.
Prediction: 64 receiving yards 1 TD 12.4 fantasy points
Dustin Keller: Keller is the only Jets receiver I know will get a fair amount of receptions.
Prediction: 78 receiving yards 1 TD 13.8 fantasy points
Stay Away
Jets receivers not named Dustin: The problem with Holmes, Edwards, and Cotchery is that the wealth will be shared too much for any to have a great game.
Prediction: Holmes: 35 receiving yards: 3.5 fantasy points
Shonn Greene/LaDainian Tomlinson: The Vikes have been allowing 87 RYPG, 87 split between two doesn’t look good. You would need to get up to 160 between the two before we can start talking about these two as starting. And they have been averaging that but they also haven’t played a rushing defense better than 112 RYPG.
Predition: Greene: 59 rushing yards 5.9 fantasy point
Randy Moss: With Tom Brady he has averaged 34 YPG, now without him against Revis he’d be lucky to get 2 receptions.
Prediction: 23 receiving yards 1 TD 2.3 fantasy points